I’m surprised that the headline on CNN-IBN’s website reads “Cong., BJP win and lose, no verdict for 2009“. Is IBN carrying a brief for the BJP?
One could argue that the Congress won Mizoram, Delhi and Rajasthan, while the BJP held on to Madhya Pradesh and Chattisgarh. But that doesn’t give the whole picture.
Firstly, the BJP lost Rajasthan. And it lost big. There was a negative swing of 42 seats, a fifth of the seats in the Rajasthan State Assembly. The BJP did managed to stay in power in Madhya Pradesh, but it dropped 30 seats.
The BJP wasn’t able to topple Shiela Dixit in Delhi, despite the fact that her government has been in power for 10 years – not many Chief Ministers have been able to stave off that much anti-incumbency.
This debacle for the BJP comes soon after a national crisis in which the country’s attention has been focused on the Congress Government alleged laxity in dealing with the Mumbai terror attack of 11/26. This was a major loss of face for the Congress; it had to ship out the Union Home Minister as well as the Chief Minister of Maharashtra and his deputy. The news media, acting like kids, had placed the blame at the Government’s door. Yet the BJP was unable to capitalize on this.
I’m wondering if the BJP is at all ready to face the coming 2009 general elections. Let’s face it. They cannot win in Kerala and West Bengal. In Tamil Nadu, no party wants to align with them. Chandrababu Naidu might not go with them in Andhra Pradesh. Add to this the debacle in Delhi and Rajasthan. And they are not the force they once were in Uttar Pradesh. Where will they get the numbers from then?
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Tags: 11/26, Andhra Pradesh, BJP, Chandrababu Naidu, Chattisgarh, Chief Minister, CNN-IBN, Congress, Delhi, Kerala, Madhya Pradesh, Mizoram, Mumbai, Rajasthan, Shiela Dixit, Tamil Nadu, Uttar Pradesh, West Bengal
Matty on 
December 10th, 2008 at 1:52 am
Taj,oberoi are hotels in which only the elitist in this country can ever make a walk inside…u and i know that mumbai ,ahmedabad have been the target for 10-15 years ever since Mr.Adavni and co,dashed the babri masjid(u can count the number of attacks before and after that)…the point to be noted is that,India has been a victim of terrorism for a long time and many a middle and lower class people (irrespective of the caste or religion) have been the targets,and tehse news channels showed them of as one off news.Now with the hotels in which Mr.Prannoy,Arnab,Bharkha,Sharukh,aamirs,rajdeeps,mps and mlas stay,the media hypes it as a national crisis!..its yet another episode in the series of terror attacks.
Coming to ur analysis on these results,vasundara raje has been a jayalalitha in rajasthan…so is the rout…this verdict holds no gud for congress either,will tell u why:
UP-70(for BSP)
TN-40(for ADMK+alliance..its not say that jayalaitha will prove to eb a voice of TN but people altentae btw karuna and jaya every 5 years)..
WB-30
Kerala-10
AP-25(TDP,Chiranjeevi)
And this time the 3rd front which is the alliance of parties only to get power,wud be forming the govt,not cong or bjp
December 10th, 2008 at 7:14 am
I’m surprised you estimate that BSP will win 70 of UP’s 80 seats. Isn’t UP more fractured than that?
And, 40 (39 + 1) for ADMK? Really?
December 11th, 2008 at 12:45 am
TNle-ADMK+MDMK+Communists,wud definitely mean its a winning combination…incessant power cuts,karuna’s anthar balti wrt marans,congress’s pathetic image wud result in a clean sweep for ADMK…vijaykanth can have impact but its marginal…last time DMk was able to make it because they had comminists with them,the thing is communists have 3-4% vote share slightly better than bjp,but makkal irangii vela parpaanga,thats why jaya has chosen to ally wth them…
and in UP…maya wud ride on the brahmin+dalit vote share of nearly 40%+appeasing muslims,which wud mean a swing against both the bjp and cong…so u can expect to see that..