Clinton’s mistakes

Time.com has an article titled The Five Mistakes Clinton Made, that analyzes why the self-obsessed candidate who presumed that she was just waiting for George W. Bush to leave so that she could move in has seen her campaign derail.

The article says:

  1. She missed the mood
  2. She didn’t master the rules
  3. She underestimated the caucus states
  4. She relied on old money, and
  5. She never counted on a long haul

What the article (rather politely) omits is that she underestimated her opponent, and crucially, his staying power. While the Clintons never publicly cast Senator Barack Obama as a candidate of color in 2007, they seem to have hoped that he would appeal to only a narrow audience, and that the others would rally behind her. The Clintons would have loved it if Obama played along racial lines, as this would have diminished his appeal.

However, credit to Obama, he never did this. He was, therefore, able to build a coalition of supporters that was more broad-based that any other candidate in the running for President in 2008. As the Clintons’ wait-and-watch strategy started failing, Bill Clinton tried to play up race as the primary factor behind Obama’s successes. This flew in the face of common sense, as Obama’s opening day victory was in Iowa, considered among the whitest of the white states. It also exposed the Clinton campaign’s expectations on this front.

While the other candidates could not get their campaigns to take off as they would have expected, Obama’s campaign worked and is still working really hard to make every state and every vote count. With Hillary, a combination of a failing strategy and pathetic operations ensured defeat.

Making voters vote

As the primaries draw to a close in the US, it is also time to remember that elections in the world’s largest democracy are also around the corner. I came to read a post from friend Selva’s archives that lists the issues and problems that prevent voters from casting their votes, and then offers solutions. A good read.

And while I appreciate his concern, I find some of his suggestions unworkable. Comments follow.

1. Make people accountable. Yes, it sounds easy to legislate that people should be held accountable for not voting. Standing in the queue at the tahsildar’s office is punishment enough. But consider the amount of administrative work involved. Tahsildar’s offices in India are small and poorly run. They are highly inefficient at whatever they do currently. If they had to cope with this mountain of new work, they would explode. Moreover, how will you ensure that everyone who does not vote comes to the tahsildar’s office to file reasons. In India, we still haven’t found a way to collect income taxes properly. The population that should file tax returns should be much lesser compared to those who are eligible to vote. The amount of paperwork involved in this process would be just too much for anyone to handle.

2. Increase security at polling booths. Increasing security at polling booths and public broadcast of activities in polling stations will only work well in movies. Considering the not-so-honest nature of the law enforcement agencies, increase in security might be considered by the voter as an increase in security for the offenders. It is easy to play with CCTV systems. Keanu Reeves employs this technique to deceive Dennis Hopper in Speed. Again, administrative work is enormous. And who pays to install these systems at polling booths? And that too, once in five years (or a few more times, if you consider state and local elections)

3. Offer free commute. The argumentative Indian will ask, “Won’t the parties use this as a means to lure the voter into voting for them?” And what if people from different parties offer a ride to the same person at the same time. If the parties don’t pay, then who does?

4. Avoiding elections in off-seasons. Though this is a good suggestion, I’m unsure if it will work. Throwing in the weather into an already exploding criteria list will make it unworkable.

5. Postal votes. Offering this on an on-demand, payment-only basis sounds good.

6. Special efforts to include names. Good idea.

7. Use of Internet in voting. It might work in the not-so-distant future, when touch screens become more common and less expensive. Otherwise, fear of technology will put off many voters.

8. Incentives for voting. Good idea, though I would personally recommend disincentivising the non-voters, knowing fully well it has the ability to touch off a civil war! ;-)

9, 10, 11. Disincentivizing non-voters. Ah, birds of a feather flock together! Didn’t read this earlier.

Fritzl

Cases like this test the faith that I have in my opposition to capital punishment.

(Not so) Super Kings

As feared earlier, the Chennai Super Kings are faring poorly without the Aussies in the line-up. Two successive defeats, stemming from paltry totals, have temporarily derailed the Kings. Come on Chennai! Bring home the pride!

Guam

I didn’t realize Guam was holding its Democratic primaries today until I came across this article on CNN.

According to the article, Guam is a territory consisting of 19 villages. Reminds me of the fabled padhinettu patti (18 villages) so often cited in Tamil movies. Interestingly, Guam is also holding elections in parallel to elect the Chairman and Vice-Chairman of the territory’s Democratic Party… in Tamil movie terms, the naattaamai.

I wonder if they have the famed arasa maram, kizhinja jamakkaalam and odanja sombu ;-)

Relegation battle 2007-08

While the 2007-08 season has been one of the closest fought in recent years in the Premier League with regard to the top three, the relegation battle has been terribly interesting as well.

This isn’t new. A couple of seasons ago, we witnessed Bryan Robson’s West Brom miraculously survive the relegation dog-fight by jumping from 20th to 17th on the last day. Last season, West Ham needed Carlos Tevez’s heroics at Old Trafford to produce an unlikely victory against champions Manchester United, while Wigan had to beat Sheffield United the same day to ensure their survival and the latter’s drop.

This season, Derby confirmed their relegation a few months into the season. The other two relegation spots have been occupied by many different clubs during the course of the season - Sunderland, Boro, Wigan, Bolton, Fulham, Reading and Birmingham City. The latter two are now in 18th and 19th spots respectively. Of the lot, Roy Keane’s Sunderland were the first to ensure another season in the top flight.

Earlier today, Wigan and Boro secured their survival, leaving Bolton, Fulham, Reading and Brum fighting for the remaining two survival spots. Bolton gave their survival chances a major boost by beating Sunderland at the Reebok, while Fulham mauled Birmingham in a potential six-pointer.

The last round of matches will be intriguing. Bolton play Chelsea away at Stamford Bridge. Given that Chelsea will be gunning for victory at home, Bolton might have to be content with their haul of 36 points. If they don’t lose by more than a couple of goals at the Bridge, Bolton should remain in the Premier League.

Fulham, currently on 33 points, are away to Portsmouth next Sunday. Portsmouth are a tough side to crack at home. But considering they are in the FA Cup final a week later, Pompey might field a weakened side, or one which has almost nothing to play for. And given Fulham are the form side, winning 3 of their past 4 games, the Londoners might yet secure the victory that keeps them in the Premiership.

Of the teams in the relegation battle, Reading have the easiest fixture on the last day. They play away at Derby. Reading’s goal difference of -29 does not compare favorably with Bolton’s -19 or Fulham’s -23. To sustain their sojourn in the Premier League, Steve Coppell’s side might need to win by a margin of 7 or 8 goals, assuming a Fulham win.

For Birmingham City, even victory at Blackburn, a daunting prospect in itself, might not be enough. Their survival depends on the final day fortunes of the other teams. They are looking likely to join Derby for another season in the Championship.

User-centric design

When I started using Office 2007 a year ago, I found the transition not difficult, but frustrating. In fact, even frustrating is a stronger word.

From a design perspective, it was difficult to fathom why the UI designers would not just tinker with, but significantly alter the menus. Considering that the core audience for Office is, well, office users, who do not embrace change as quickly or as easily as, say, a younger, more dynamic demographic, such a radical redesign flew in the face of conventional thinking.

And almost everyone I knew, who had made the transition, felt lost in the new Office. Think of the first time you were using Word 2007, and wanted to change the orientation of the page to “Landscape”. Though “Page Layout” was the third item on the ribbon, the force of old habit made us look us look under File > Print. If not F1 key, we would have wasted hours find something that was right there in front of our eyes.

However, a few months into it, and I find myself totally comfortable, to the point that previous versions of Office seem rudimentary, even ancient. I guess other users would have acclimatised themselves just as well. But I still think it was big gamble on part of the Office team to have gone ahead with such a redesign. I wonder if Microsoft would have been able to pull it off if not for their entrenched strength. In a more open playing field, users might have “considered” gravitating to other choices.

That said, I am still not convinced about Vista’s UI design as being as revolutionary and user-friendly as Office 2007’s.

Microsoft Excel

… is the greatest software application ever. Period.

Park Ji-Sung: the new Damien?

Thinking about yesterday’s game, it is tough not to make a particular comparison. I have already alluded to how Park Ji-Sung, the Korean midfielder was a lion on the pitch against Barcelona. The following video, a compilation of some of Park’s contributions last night, reiterates that view.

You need to a flashplayer enabled browser to view this YouTube video

Park best signified the spirit of the Devil last night, epitomised by Roy Keane’s performance against Juventus in the semi-final second leg at Turin in 1999. Park not only showed his attacking flair, setting up others and sending in some splendid crosses, but he was instrumental as a disruptor when Barcelona charged forward - defending deep, throwing in tackles to dispossess the visitors, running after almost-lost balls, and generally blocking the flow of events when under attack. In short, Park was all over the park!

For a player who has had more than his share of critics, Park’s attitude and work-rate shone through enough to silence the hardiest of them. He should be a more regular feature in the United line-up.

Cometh the hour… cometh Man United!

In 1999, when Manchester United were playing the second leg of their semi-final tie versus Juventus away at the Stadio Delle Alpi, it required their captain Roy Keane to produce arguably the best performance ever by a player wearing United’s colours to propel them into the final at the Nou Camp. Keane has moved on. So many others from that fabled team of treble winners have. Paul Scholes remains.

And though he did not have to produced the same kind of “as if he had the Devil on him” performance, the quiet laddie let his boots do the talking, scoring the only goal - a marvelous one albeit - of a fiercely competed semi-final to push the Red Devils past a Barcelona team, who, though they might be on the wane, gave it their everything. Here is the goal.

You need to a flashplayer enabled browser to view this YouTube video

For United to have accomplished this without the services of Wayne Rooney and Nemanja Vidic was commendable. Such was the tempo of the game earlier today that those of us watching on TV would have felt quite exhausted just watching the spectacle. United’s work-rate was of a different order in the game compared to their dodgy outing at Stamford Bridge just a couple of days ago. (I personally felt that Park Ji-Sung outshone everyone else tonight - he was both leonine and workhorse-like.)

Chelsea host Liverpool tomorrow, and the Blues have an away goal advantage. Should be a good game. Considering United have beaten Liverpool on multiple occasions this year, maybe the Scousers would make a good final for us.

IPL, EPL, UCL

The Super Kings beat the Deccan Chargers to extend their run to 4 games! Rock on, Chennai!

Lefties & T20

Selva has an interesting observation about whether left-handed batsmen have an advantage in Twenty20 cricket. One possible explanation, if this hypothesis were found true, is that most bowlers are naturally suited to bowl to right handers. In longer versions of the game, bowlers have more time to settle down into a rhythm as well as size up the pitch with respect to line and length; so the advantage that left handers have can be negated. T20 offers no such cushion; plus batsmen are looking to attack from the first delivery. Maybe, this is why lefties do better.

The English Premier League

A few weeks ago, someone from India posted a comment on the Teamtalk forums, and referred to the English Premier League as EPL. A Briton took exception to this and sought to correct the Indian thus, “Don’t refer to it as the EPL! It is simply the Premier League, and that’s how we would like it to be.”When I read it, I did not find it patronizing. But back then, there was no Indian Premier League. Now we do have something to boast about. If the IPL does sustains itself and become a huge popular and monetary success, maybe we could fight back such condescending, and if I may add, imperialist attitudes.

United v/s Barcelona

Later today, Manchester United take on Barcelona in a must-win Champions League semi-final second leg. News is that Wayne Rooney and Nemanja Vidic could miss out. Games like this are a test of character - the line that divides the great from the legendary. Cristiano Ronaldo is already spoken of as an Old Trafford legend, but tonight he should step up to the plate. Another year, and we might not know if form and circumstances would be similar or kinder. This is the night. Arise, thou champion! C’mon, ye Reds!

Chennai Super Kings: Pride of the South

One of the nicest things about the Indian Premier League is that the Chennai team lead the pack now. Still the only unbeaten team in the league, the Kings of Chennai rock!

Incidentally, I thought the Mumbai Indians would do better than lose four in a row.

Eight things

Been tagged after a long time. I didn’t think folks did this stuff any more. Anyways, here’s my dull list of eight things.Eight things I’m passionate about:

  1. Random bits of information
  2. Work ;-)
  3. Soccer
  4. Music
  5. Religion
  6. New technology
  7. Computer games
  8. Arguing

Read more…

Not funny

Some (crazy) activists throw pies at Thomas Friedman as he begins a speech at Brown University. Ridiculous, but not funny.

You need to a flashplayer enabled browser to view this YouTube video

Wanted: a math tutor

Math tutor required urgently; must be competent in basic arithmetic, especially addition of 7-digit and 8-digit numbers*; to teach a 60 year-old busy woman. Contract begins immediately and ends in August. Position involves extensive travel. Pay negotiable. Interested parties contact Hillary Clinton for President.

*Prior experience ducking gunfire while rushing across foreign air-base tarmacs a plus.

Random thoughts

1. When in the midst of a group of people discussing about innovation, you find yourself saying “It is not at all necessary for companies to innovate. It is more important to be a fast follower than an innovator”, do you call yourself a pragmatist or a pessimist or worse, a combination of the two, i.e. a businessman?

2. Isn’t it ironical that the United States has a quota of 20000 visas for students with advanced degrees from US universities under the H1B visa program (which the Government claims is to enable highly skilled immigrants work in the country and thereby gain citizenship in the long run), and yet one of only two conditions for rejecting an F-1 student visa is that the visa seeker is a potential immigrant?

Republican Media Machine

The Republican Media Machine is underway already. Of course, you may wonder when they ever stopped!

Senator McCain’s campaign is latching on to the politics-by-fear tactic of George W. Bush and Karl Rove by sending out fundraising e-mails citing Hamas’ support for Senator Obama. This is shameful, and does not become of a good man like John McCain, from whom you can expect the decency the Clintons lack.

When will the Republicans realize that if America is under attack, it is not from Islamic extremists, but from the inside, because of its unstable economy, crumbling infrastructure and crippling crime rate?

Copying filtered data in Excel 2007

When you apply filters in Excel 2007, and then copy the filtered data from one sheet to another, you will find (to your frustration) that what has been copied to the new sheet is not just the filtered data, but also the invisible data that was filtered out. Oh, the ways of Microsoft! If I wanted to copy all the data, I would do it without using the filter. When I apply a filter, I am only interested in the resultant subset. And to think that this wasn’t a problem in previous versions of Excel baffles me even more.

Help is at hand, though. If you want to copy only the filtered result set, select it, then hit F5 to open the “Go To…” dialog. In this dialog box, click on the “Special…” button, and select the “Visible cells only” option. Now when you copy, only the visible cells are copied to the clipboard. And solves the problem!

Calendar blunder

I came to know recently that our Chief Minister has passed a law in the Tamil Nadu Assembly which declares January 14 as the Tamil New Year’s Day from 2009. While this is absolutely, totally, completely whatever-ly ridiculous, it gives rise to an interesting confusion.

Surely, some of our paguththarivu pagalavans will follow the Chief Minister’s idea of the Tamil New Year. However, old fogeys like yours truly will still “cling to” tradition and observe April 14 (or Chithirai 1) as the New Year.

In effect, January 14 will be called the New Tamil New Year. But what of April 14? Will people call it the Old Tamil New Year? Or New Old Tamil New Year? Or New Tamil Old New Year?

Oh, and by the way, happy (Old) Tamil New Year to you!

P.S.: Are people in Tamil Nadu gritting their teeth at the loss of a holiday?

IPL kicks off

After months of anticipation, the Indian Premier League kicked off today with a meek surrender by the Bangalore Royal Challengers, whose batting was neither royal, nor seemed like posing any challenge to the others teams in the league. Kolkata, in contrast, turned out to be awesome (though I am not impressed by their team name).

It would be interesting to see how the IPL impacts the future of cricket. One possible scenario is that cricket might be played more along club lines, like football. But I think it is currently more possible than probable. Regional cricket (like county cricket in England and state tournaments in India and Australia) face a greater threat due to IPL’s emergence. If the organizers were to expand the IPL from its current, compressed two-month schedule, regional cricket is sure to take a huge hit.

Interestingly though, Michael Vaughn’s recent comments made some sense in this regard. When asked if the IPL could threaten county cricket in England, Vaughn pointed out that each country could have its own league, and then the top clubs from each country could face off against each other in a super league, much like the UEFA Champions League in football.

I have some doubts if this would indeed turn out to be the case. India’s financial clout in cricket could make it extremely difficult for similar leagues in other countries to thrive.

Anyway, Twenty20 cricket and the Indian Premier League have definitely made the “business” of cricket more dynamic, and a space to watch out for. It is, as many have already said, the best way to take the game to a more global audience.